Conservative MPs will vote between 6pm and 8pm to determine whether or not they nonetheless believe in Theresa Might as their chief.
The outcome might be introduced at 9pm.
Mrs Might must safe the votes of 158 MPs – half the parliamentary get together plus one – to stay as Conservative chief.
If she would not then the get together will maintain an election to decide on a brand new chief.
Theresa Might would keep on as Prime Minister for some time even when she loses
However dropping this vote would not imply she has to resign as Prime Minister instantly.
Within the UK system of Authorities, the nation all the time has a Prime Minister.
And meaning Mrs Might will stick with it till anyone else is able to change her.
In apply, that implies that she stays in Quantity 10 till the Conservatives have chosen a brand new chief.
If she insisted in resigning early then no one can cease her. The Queen would most likely must appoint her deputy, the Cupboard Workplace Minister David Liddington, as a brief Prime Minister whereas the management election is underway.
However there isn’t any purpose to suppose Theresa Might would do that.
How lengthy would a Conservative management contest take?
It is thought that the competition might be held over the Christmas break.
Nevertheless, Theresa Might stated a brand new chief wouldn’t be in place by the January 21, the deadline for a Commons vote on the Brexit deal.
There are two levels to a Conservative management election.
First, MPs select their two prime candidates.
Then, Conservative Occasion members maintain a vote to determine who out of these two contenders turns into their chief.
The brand new chief will then turn into Prime Minister
As soon as a brand new Conservative chief is in place, they turn into Prime Minister.
That is as a result of they might have the ability to command the help of a majority of MPs within the Home of Commons.
The Conservatives do not have a majority on their very own. They rely on the help of 10 MPs from the DUP, a Northern Eire get together.
However the DUP have already stated they may proceed to help the Tories no matter who the get together chief is.
The one factor that might change their minds is that if a Conservative authorities succeeded in getting the Home of Commons to approve plans for the “backstop” – a part of the proposed Brexit withdrawal settlement, which the DUP firmly oppose.
Nevertheless, it seems most unlikely that the Commons will ever help the backstop because it at present stands.
Theresa Might may resign even when she wins the arrogance vote
If Theresa Might wins the arrogance vote than she will proceed as get together chief. Beneath Conservative get together guidelines, a brand new vote cannot be held for 12 months.
However it’s doable she would possibly really feel obliged to resign anyway.
For instance, if 100 Tory MPs vote in opposition to her then, in line with the foundations, she will stick with it – however she would possibly really feel that so lots of her personal MPs oppose her that she will’t actually get something finished.
Labour may additionally name a Home of Commons confidence vote
The Conservative confidence vote is a separate course of to a confidence vote within the Commons as an entire.
A Commons vote would occur if Labour put down a movement saying they don’t have any confidence within the Authorities.
And if the Authorities loses this vote then there’ll most likely be a normal election. So far as this vote is anxious, it makes no distinction whether or not Theresa Might is Tory chief or another person.